Evidence-based technical analysis : applying the scientific method and statistical inference to trading signals /
David R. Aronson.
- Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley, 2007.
- xi, 528 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
- Wiley trading series .
Includes bibliographical references (p. 477-516) and index.
Methodological, psychological, philosophical, and statistical foundations. Objective rules and their evaluation ; The illusory validity of subjective technical analysis ; The scientific method and technical analysis ; Statistical analysis ; Hypothesis tests and confidence intervals ; Data mining bias: the fool's gold of objective TA ; Theories of nonrandom price motion -- Case study: signal rules for S&P 500 Index. Case study of rule data mining for S&P 500 ; Case study results and the future of TA -- Appendix: Proof that detrending is equivalent to benchmarking based on position bias.