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Aronson, David R., 1945-

Evidence-based technical analysis : applying the scientific method and statistical inference to trading signals / David R. Aronson. - Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley, 2007. - xi, 528 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. - Wiley trading series .

Includes bibliographical references (p. 477-516) and index.

Methodological, psychological, philosophical, and statistical foundations. Objective rules and their evaluation ; The illusory validity of subjective technical analysis ; The scientific method and technical analysis ; Statistical analysis ; Hypothesis tests and confidence intervals ; Data mining bias: the fool's gold of objective TA ; Theories of nonrandom price motion -- Case study: signal rules for S&P 500 Index. Case study of rule data mining for S&P 500 ; Case study results and the future of TA -- Appendix: Proof that detrending is equivalent to benchmarking based on position bias.

0470008741 (cloth) 9780470008744 (cloth)


Investment analysis.

HG4529

332.632042 / A769

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