Includes bibliographical references (p. 477-516) and index.

Methodological, psychological, philosophical, and statistical foundations. Objective rules and their evaluation ; The illusory validity of subjective technical analysis ; The scientific method and technical analysis ; Statistical analysis ; Hypothesis tests and confidence intervals ; Data mining bias: the fool's gold of objective TA ; Theories of nonrandom price motion -- Case study: signal rules for S&P 500 Index. Case study of rule data mining for S&P 500 ; Case study results and the future of TA -- Appendix: Proof that detrending is equivalent to benchmarking based on position bias.